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	<title>NoMeNot &#187; SNG</title>
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	<description>Poker, Life, Business, Sports, Whatever</description>
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		<title>Ship it!</title>
		<link>http://www.nomenot.net/poker/ship-it/738</link>
		<comments>http://www.nomenot.net/poker/ship-it/738#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2009 04:43:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>NoMeNot</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Poker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[100 to 10k]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Goals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SNG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steps]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Win]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WSOP]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nomenot.net/?p=738</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<a href="http://www.nomenot.net/poker/ship-it/738"><img src="http://www.nomenot.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/step6win-150x150.jpg"></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So I left off talking (<a href="http://www.nomenot.net/poker/pokerstars-online-steps/636">last post</a>) about how I was lucky enough to turn four step 4&#8242;s into a step 6.  I actually went ahead and decided to play my only step 6 on Sunday afternoon.  Well to make a long story short, I won my seat to the <a href="http://www.worldseriesofpoker.com/">WSOP</a>!  It is a package that is worth 12 thousand dollars!</p>
<p>I am so excited, even 24 hours later, I don&#8217;t know where to begin.</p>
<p>As I was browsing the lobby at <a href="http://www.pokerstars.com/sites/download/?source=10168888">PokerStars</a>, I saw a step 6 had 10 of the needed 12 players signed up.  The field was tough as what would be expected in a step 6, but I didn&#8217;t care.  Something inside told me that this was the one to play.  So I listened to my gut and signed up.</p>
<p>The game moved along incredibly slowly since we started with pretty deep stacks and the blinds were not escalating as they would in a turbo.  There was definitely plenty of play.  Some players obviously knew this as I noticed alot of deep-stack-type plays such as &#8220;floating.&#8221;  I had to adjust pretty quickly.</p>
<p>It was nearly an hour later and only 1 of the 12 starting players had been knocked out, and you could sense other players making moves to try and chip up.  When the following hand came up:<br />
<object id="trainingApp3" classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="560" height="420" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="align" value="middle" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="sameDomain" /><param name="quality" value="high" /><param name="bgcolor" value="#cccccc" /><param name="src" value="http://www.pokerxfactor.com/swf/trainingApp3.swf?xmlHandID=193178&amp;fn=1321_20090602_000321&amp;hn=0&amp;mh=0&amp;sc=1" /><param name="name" value="trainingApp3" /><embed id="trainingApp3" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="560" height="420" src="http://www.pokerxfactor.com/swf/trainingApp3.swf?xmlHandID=193178&amp;fn=1321_20090602_000321&amp;hn=0&amp;mh=0&amp;sc=1" bgcolor="#cccccc" quality="high" allowscriptaccess="sameDomain" align="middle" name="trainingApp3"></embed></object></p>
<p><a style="font-family: Geneva, Arial, Helvetica, san-serif; font-size: 12px; color: #003333;" href="http://www.pokerxfactor.com/servlet/pxf?t=hand&amp;handid=193178" target="new">Click here to view a larger version</a>.</p>
<p>Depending on how you look at it, A<a href="http://www.nomenot.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/diamond.gif"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-405" title="diamond" src="http://www.nomenot.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/diamond.gif" alt="diamond" width="13" height="11" /></a>K<a href="http://www.nomenot.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/diamond.gif"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-405" title="diamond" src="http://www.nomenot.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/diamond.gif" alt="diamond" width="13" height="11" /></a> is really a tough decision here.  I could easily make a case for folding.  However, I really thought that the button (M555SSM) was making a move.  Up to this point he had shown he is not afraid to reraise pre.  I thought he was just making a squeeze play here, and well <em>Wes</em> was cold calling all day.  I also felt that the SB who pushed all in knew this as well.  So I thought his range of hands here could easily be behind my AK.</p>
<p>I took up quite a bit of time as I finally made the decision to call.  Unfortunately it didn&#8217;t work out, but I am still happy with my call.  So it looked like this tournament was not mine to win as I was left with 7 big blinds as the blinds moved up to 75/150 the next hand.  I was really in dismay thinking that it was over.  But I never gave up!</p>
<p>I slowly worked my stack back up to find myself in the final 3.  It was then that I was confident that the seat was mine.  I knew it was just a matter of time.  A little while longer, the other two stacks played a huge hand in which one player got lucky to win.  It was a hand that I was shocked to see played out the way it was, but I was elated as the player that won had more chips than the other; meaning we were down to 2 players.  The game was over.  I won a seat (two were up for grabs).</p>
<p>I was jumping up and down like a school girl at field day.  I took a desktop pic of the lobby after I won to just make it official as I was still pinching myself.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.nomenot.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/step6win.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-736" title="step6win" src="http://www.nomenot.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/step6win.jpg" alt="step6win" width="565" height="405" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: left;">So now I am 12 thousand dollars richer!  I have since decided to take the cash and opt out of playing in the the WSOP.  I might however attempt to win another seat.  If I do win another, I will definitely play the main event then.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">I also want to note that a poker goal of mine that I set in October of &#8217;07 has FINALLY been reached.  It was my <a href="http://www.nomenot.net/poker/my-goal-to-10k/4">100 to 10k goal</a>.  I was up to 5k within 6 months and nearly lost it all and then I basically had to start over.  I was starting to question if I would ever make it.  Now, I am looking forward to my next goal 10k to 100k.  Wish me luck!  <img src='http://www.nomenot.net/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Oh&#8230;.if you wanted to see the full hand history of the step 6:</p>
<p><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="560" height="420" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="name" value="trainingApp3" /><param name="bgcolor" value="#cccccc" /><param name="align" value="middle" /><param name="src" value="http://www.pokerxfactor.com/swf/trainingApp3.swf?xmlHandID=193177&amp;fn=1321_20090601_235912%7C1321&amp;hn=0&amp;mh=1&amp;sc=1" /><param name="quality" value="high" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="560" height="420" src="http://www.pokerxfactor.com/swf/trainingApp3.swf?xmlHandID=193177&amp;fn=1321_20090601_235912%7C1321&amp;hn=0&amp;mh=1&amp;sc=1" bgcolor="#cccccc" quality="high" align="middle" name="trainingApp3"></embed></object></p>
<p><a style="font-family: Geneva, Arial, Helvetica, san-serif; font-size: 12px; color: #003333;" href="http://www.pokerxfactor.com/servlet/pxf?t=hand&amp;handid=193177" target="new">Click here to view a larger version</a>.</p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Pokerstars&#8217; Online Steps</title>
		<link>http://www.nomenot.net/poker/pokerstars-online-steps/636</link>
		<comments>http://www.nomenot.net/poker/pokerstars-online-steps/636#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 31 May 2009 03:50:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>NoMeNot</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Poker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SNG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spreadsheets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steps]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.nomenot.net/?p=636</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<a href="http://www.nomenot.net/uncategorized/pokerstars-online-steps/636"><img src="http://www.nomenot.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/steps2009-150x150.jpg"></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I haven&#8217;t had the time to play as much poker as I would like as of late.  But when I do, I have been consumed with attempting to win a seat to the World Series of Poker via the PokerStars steps.</p>
<h3>What are steps?</h3>
<p>If you aren&#8217;t familiar with the <a href="http://www.pokerstars.com/wsop/qualify/steps/">steps</a>, they are basically a way to qualify for a live major poker tournament for as little as $7.50.  They are a group of single-table (9 players) tournaments that consist of 6 different levels.  Starting at step 1, in order to get to step 2 you would need to finish in the top 2 spots.  The same for each level until you get to step 6 where you play for a prize often around 10k+.</p>
<h3>My attempt to get to step 6</h3>
<p>I have played these steps in the past, and have made it to step 6 a couple of times starting from step 1.  Thanks to some pretty poor luck, nothing big materialized from those step 6&#8242;s.  So this year I was hoping to take another shot at the steps with hopes of making a 10k+ score.</p>
<p>I had been accumulating step 2&#8242;s over the year as I would use my frequent player points (<a href="http://www.pokerstars.com/fpp/">FPP&#8217;s</a>) to play in step 1&#8242;s.  You can actually play in step 1 for 500 fpp&#8217;s instead of $7.50. I ended up spending just over 50,000 fpp&#8217;s.  To make a long story short, I am left today with one step 6 ticket ready to be played.</p>
<p>If I could cash out the step 6, which unfortunately you can&#8217;t, I would be $2,100 richer (the cost to buy in directly into step 6).  I really wish I could just take the cash and reinvest half of it back into the steps.  But it is what it is, and I am stuck here pondering what to do.</p>
<h3>To play or not to play&#8230;&#8230;.</h3>
<p>&#8230;..that is the question.  Should I hold it for a later date?  Should I try to get more step 6&#8242;s first?  I really just don&#8217;t know what I am going to do as of yet.  Something is telling me to wait it out thought instead of playing it now.</p>
<p>The plan is to just gradually play more and more steps until I am left with about 5+ step 6&#8242;s.  This way I would feel confident in my chances of winning at least once.  The pressure would really be relieved, I would think.</p>
<h3>Confident to win</h3>
<p>I am confident that I will <em>eventually</em> win a step 6.  I just don&#8217;t know when.  I am just trying to pave the way to see to it that I can be most likely to succeed.</p>
<p>How can I be so confident that I will even get to another step 6?</p>
<p>Well, this is when record keeping comes in handy.  I have an excel spreadsheet that I use that keeps tally of the number of steps that I play and what place I come in.  It is really great to know the &#8220;chances&#8221; of getting to step 6.  Though there is such a thing as variance, I feel like keeping stats does give me some idea as to my expected value of playing these steps.  Below is a picture of the &#8220;totals section&#8221; of the spreadsheet, with my stats:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-664" title="steps2009" src="http://www.nomenot.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/steps2009.jpg" alt="steps2009" width="663" height="376" /></p>
<p style="text-align: left;">I am happy that I was able to get a step 6.  But to be honest, I am disappointed at the same time.  I really ran wayyyy below expectation in the step 3&#8242;s.  I was really getting discouraged.  At one point, I was starting to doubt that I would ever get to a step 6.  According to previous step attempts, I normally come in 1st/2nd place in those around 27-31 percent.  This year I only came in the top two spots 15 percent of the time!</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Somehow though, I was able to turn four step 4&#8242;s into a step 6.  I will let you know when, if any time soon, I decide to play it.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">If you are interested in getting a similar spreadsheet, then I have made it available in the NoMeNot <a href="http://www.nomenot.net/store">E-Store</a> for free.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>WCOOP Steps</title>
		<link>http://www.nomenot.net/poker/wcoop-steps/6</link>
		<comments>http://www.nomenot.net/poker/wcoop-steps/6#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Jul 2008 02:45:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>NoMeNot</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Poker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SNG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steps]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://firsttime22.wordpress.com/2008/07/22/wcoop-steps/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<a href="http://www.nomenot.net/poker/wcoop-steps/6"><img src="http://www.nomenot.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/nomenot.jpg" /></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When <span class="blsp-spelling-error">Pokerstars</span> was running their <span class="blsp-spelling-error">WSOP</span> steps, I put in over $1000 in step 1s.  I would end up playing in five Step 6s.  Not to talk about bad luck, but I did run <span class="blsp-spelling-error">KK</span> into AA <span class="blsp-spelling-error">pre</span> in 3 of these step 6s and only cashed in one.</p>
<p>So after getting pretty accustomed with the step system, and seeing as I believe any good <span class="blsp-spelling-error">SNG</span> player should show profit in these things, I took my W$ and played in some (4) step 3&#8242;s.</p>
<p>Well, I won two step 4 direct <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected">satellites for a win of W$1,060 from my original W$328 investment.  Hmmm&#8230;&#8230;could I be on to something here?</span></p>
<p><span class="blsp-spelling-corrected">I went through all of my past stats in the WSOP steps and just by buying in from the step 3 level and playing for the step 4 satellite in these WCOOP steps, I should show a pretty decent profit.</span></p>
<p><span class="blsp-spelling-corrected">So over the next week or so, I will be trying to bang these things out and see where it takes me.</span></p>
<p><span class="blsp-spelling-corrected"><span style="color:#009900;">BR: $2,868.80</span> (1,100 of which is W$)</span></p>
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